Hail to the King Baby! So, I am reading the news, and our King… cough… I mean President tells the nation during his press conference that county is not in a recession.
During a White House news conference Thursday morning, President Bush said the country is not headed into a recession, noting that the government has acted “robustly.”
Later in the conference we find out that he doesn’t even know that fuel prices (a strong inflationary force in our economy) have climbed to incredible heights. There are parts of the country now where gas exceeds $4 per gallon. This has got to be a major factor influencing the economy, and the man isn’t even aware of it.
In fact, when asked by a reporter about what advice he’d given an average American, who is faced by the prospect of $4 gallon gas, the President responded: “That’s interesting. I hadn’t heard that. … I know it’s high now.”
While already demonstrating that as President he currently knows nothing about either Leadership or Strategy, he has now demonstrated a basic lack of understanding of modern economics or even American psychology.
Lets lay it out here.
First: Consumer confidence and spending have some of the strongest effects on the economy. Consumer spending accounts for 2/3 of our economy. The strength of the economy begins with people’s perceptions of it, because those perceptions influence their spending decisions.
It is a self feeding cycle. You aren’t confident. You spend less. You spend less, companies sell less. Companies sell less, they higher less. Companies higher less, you don’t feel confident. Spread that across a lot of people, and that spells trouble. Simplistic for sure, but still applicable.
Hence why leaders are constantly telling you that things are rosy and happy. Bring out the kittens! Except that when the leader has about as much of the peoples trust and confidence as the owner of a jewelry seller would have of the attendees at a kleptomaniacs convention, people aren’t liable to believe said leader. The President currently enjoys an approval rating around 30%.
Lets face it, if he were to tell me the sky was blue, I would doubt it and think about getting my eyes checked.
Second: The man is clearly deluding himself if he is thinking there aren’t problems. US GDP Growth the previous quarter was 4.9%. This last quarter, 0.6%. That doesn’t look good to me.
Now, granted, a recession isn’t indicated unless we have two consecutive quarters of these numbers. Now, we have one, and the idea is to prevent another.
Three: If we are going to prevent another quarter of no GDP growth, we need to get the economy ticking along again right? That would seem logical. So, our government is leaping into action with a daring plan. They are going to give us our money back.
Seems ok at first, until you think about it. They are going to TAKE our money during the quarter they are trying to PREVENT a reduction in SPENDING, then they will give it back to us in 4 MONTHS, after the quarter they are trying to PREVENT a reduction in.
Am I the only one who sees the sheer illogic in this? Seriously. Tax time is coming. Everyone is going to be writing checks to the government is a few weeks. That means that right now, people are spending less to be able to write that check.
And the sadder thing is, when the refund check comes, the size of it is only going to be about $600 per taxpayer. Where will that money go? You got it. Bills! Paying back the loans on the money we already spent. I have read that some economist think that our debts might be the issue, but for most Americans, the small amount of money is not going to improve people’s debt picture. It might make a mortgage payment, or a credit card payment, but thats about it considering the average Americans debt profile.
The net result is that the current government response is a total and abject failure. Which doesn’t surprise me really because….
Four: During the whole press conference the thing the President was most concerned about was getting a Bill passed that will let the Government spy on it’s citizens without a warrant and provide retroactive immunity to the companies that broke the law while helping them circumvent our civil liberties.
I think I will go be sick now.
Posted by: Mittop
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